Managers think of themselves as captains of a ship on a stormy sea. Risk for them is danger, but they are fighting it, very controlled.

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.

Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.

This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.

The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.

Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.

Maybe some things aren't meant to be known. maybe there just meant to be accepted.

What do you mean by yuanfen?"She thought for a minute and replied, "It means: that apportionment of love which is destined for you in this world.

If a tree falls in the forest and nobody is there to hear it, doesn't it just lie there and rot?

When I sit at that typewriter, I have to be frightened of what I'm trying to do. I'm frightened by my own belief that I can actually get a story down on paper.

There are always fights in a band. People get together for these reunion shows after 20 years, and they play a couple shows and break up again.

I may be middle class, but I'm hard. 'Al dente', you could say.

The atmosphere of our time is fast being cleared of the fumes and deadly gases that arose during the carboniferous age of theology.

We can close the gap and improve what happens in the classroom by using educational technology that is the same high quality everywhere.

Please don't let me fall.

Yeah, well, it's been a super fun week. And by 'super fun' I mean 'horrible and endless'.