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Nate Silver Quotes: People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
         

People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.


Nate Silver
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Other quotes of Nate Silver


There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.



Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.



We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.



New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.



We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.



Success makes you less intimidated by things.

Success makes you less intimidated by things.



The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.



When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen



Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.



On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.





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Our job is not to find the peace or create peace, but to find and eliminate all the obstacles on the way to the peace.



Since the fall of Man and the return of Magery and our older ways, most disputes were settled in a civilized manner: sword to the face, mace to the neck, acceptable societal situational handlers

Since the fall of Man and the return of Magery and our older ways, most disputes were settled in a civilized manner: sword to the face, mace to the neck, acceptable societal situational handlers



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Being typecast is a great thing for an actor. I was considered one of the New York mob actors.



The fact is that the culture does not have only positive effects on our intellectual and moral functions but also negative effects.

The fact is that the culture does not have only positive effects on our intellectual and moral functions but also negative effects.



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Children do not really need money. After all, they don't have to pay rent or send mailgrams.



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When you turn to God you discover He has been facing you all the time.




Quote Description


This page presents the quote "People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.". Author of this quote is Nate Silver. This quote is about light, new information, people, intuitive, information,.