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Nate Silver Quotes: The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
         

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.


Nate Silver
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There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.



We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.



New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.



We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

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Success makes you less intimidated by things.

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The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.



When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen



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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.



On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.





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Quote Description


This page presents the quote "The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.". Author of this quote is Nate Silver. This quote is about missing, hampshire, problem, instance, polls, mistake,.