We are often confident even when we are wrong, and an objective observer is more likely to detect our errors than we are.

The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.

Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance.

This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.

The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained.

Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it.

By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.

We tend to get a little information before we off people. It’s not a play by ear sort of deal.

I am a little suspicious of industry paradigms. I feel like so many movies and TV shows feel so familiar because of over-reliance on these paradigms.

Everybody laughs when fatty falls down.

A lot of the techniques are similar in MMA. You just have to look at your opponent and their technique and tweak your game plan a little bit.

Heaven wills our happiness, allows our doom.

We have a serious problem: America is addicted to oil... The best way to break this addiction is through technology.

You can't be afraid. You can be sad if you like. You can be angry. But it's the fear that'll freeze you in place.

For eight years, I was sleeping with the president, and if that doesn't give you special access, I don't know what does!

The same contingencies of time and space that force a statesman or soldier to make decisions, impel the historian, though with less urgency, to make up his mind.

It doesn't matter what your probability of failure is. If there's a 90% chance of failure, there's a 10% chance of changing the world.